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  2. US mid-termsHeating up
  3. AICooling
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Rand weakens to R16.50 per dollar as global markets fall

Published

The rand fell to its softest level in a week early on Friday, from a R16.37 close on Wednesday. Global markets lost ground on renewed doubts over AI spending and a higher oil price after another attack on Saudi Arabia.

Wall Street fell sharply on Thursday. The Nasdaq closed almost 3% lower and the S&P 500 fell 1.2%. Shares in Meta Platforms dropped 7% even after the company gave an upbeat earnings update. On the JSE, losses were more than 1%.

Brent crude traded above $100 since the start of October. Reports said a surge in oil prices followed another attack on Saudi Arabia. The Japanese yen gained about 1% and is on course for its biggest weekly gain since early September.

Tomoichiro Kubota, chief market analyst at Matsui Securities Co., said: "It may be that the AI bubble has started to burst." Reports said Reserve Bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago has warned of an AI bust since November 2025, and that it would hurt the rand.

Markets now wait for interest rate decisions from the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank next week. Investors expect both to hold rates.

Key facts

Who
Lesetja Kganyago (SA Reserve Bank Governor); Tomoichiro Kubota (chief market analyst at Matsui Securities Co.); Peter Tuchman (US stock trader known as the 'Einstein of Wall Street')
What
The rand fell to R16.50 per dollar early on Friday, from a R16.37 close on Wednesday, as risk aversion spread through global markets. Reports cited by the article link the moves to doubts over tech companies' AI spending and a surge in oil prices after another attack on Saudi Arabia.
When
23 October 2026
Where
South Africa, United States, Saudi Arabia
Status
Reported

Elections Hot

What you need to know

Voting in the 2026 Local Government Elections is under way at 23,696 stations, and the Electoral Commission of South Africa (IEC) reported a smooth start on 4 November. Stations opened at 7am and close at 9pm, and by 10am preliminary figures showed 3,523,691 voters had cast ballots.

There were problems: unused ballot papers were stolen from Mnyameni Secondary School near Durban, police opened a case, and the IEC relieved the station staff of duty. Some voters in Tshwane said they were turned away for wearing party shirts, but the IEC denied this and said only mayoral candidates' entourages were barred.

ANC chairperson Gwede Mantashe told members not to query the results or discredit the IEC, while the IEC said false online claims show routine procedures as fraud.

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US mid-terms Heating up

What you need to know

Democrats won back both the US House and Senate in the midterm elections held on 3 November, according to media projections. Exit polls showed voters were angry about high prices and the direction of the country, and rebuked President Donald Trump.

Before the vote, US forces struck targets on Qeshm Island in Iran, while Republicans struggled to defend the war against Iran on the campaign trail. Iranian officials said US voters rejected the war, and Tehran stayed on high alert for possible new US strikes.

Markets reacted, with the dollar hitting a one-month low and the rand firming to around R16.55, as analysts pointed to fears of gridlock in Washington.

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AI Cooling

What you need to know

Nvidia has told its cloud computing clients to sell at least 51% of their services to non-Chinese companies, according to five people with knowledge of the matter. Anthropic said it has committed to spend close to $900bn on AI infrastructure, and that its computing costs are rising faster than its revenues.

Elsewhere, reports from unnamed sources say OpenAI's latest funding round is falling short of expectations, and a judge let the NAACP pollution case against xAI proceed. In South Africa, the VAST AI investment scheme went offline on 30 October after withdrawals marked approved did not arrive, according to a news investigation.

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