Attacks on Black Sea cargo ships surge near Nato states
Shipping security firm Ambrey counted 317 merchant and other vessels hit in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov between May and October. Analysts say they have little doubt Russia carried out the attacks near Romania and Bulgaria. Russia denies targeting Ukraine's neighbours with drones.
A Greek container ship was sunk by naval drones in Bulgaria's exclusive economic zone last week. Ambrey said 74 vessels were struck in the previous half-year. In the third quarter, Ukraine carried out 137 attacks on ships and Russia carried out 92. In October, Russia hit 38 ships and Ukraine struck five.
Romania's government accused Russia of systematic strikes on civilian ships. Bulgaria did not blame Russia but said some attacks seem to benefit it. Ambrey said a naval drone seen on video of the last strike looked like a Russian type.
Sidharth Kaushal, a senior fellow at the RUSI think tank, called the attacks an escalation. Iulia Joja of the Middle East Institute said Russia is testing red lines. A Nato official said the attacks aim to dissuade allies from supporting Ukraine, and that Nato's duty to defend all members is firm. Russia says European governments escalate the war with military aid.
Russian grain exports through the two seas fell to 300,000 tonnes in September, from 4.74 million tonnes a year earlier. Ukraine's port grain exports were 810,000 tonnes, against 2.1 million tonnes. Naval analyst Andriy Ryzhenko said cutting grain volumes is Russia's main goal, with testing Nato second. Nato has committed $40bn (R666.4bn) to counter-drone capabilities over five years.
Key facts
- Who
- Sidharth Kaushal (senior fellow at the London-based RUSI think tank); Iulia Joja (director of the Black Sea programme for the Washington-based Middle East…); Tomas Alexa (senior analyst at Ambrey Analytics); Andriy Ryzhenko (naval analyst and former senior Ukrainian naval officer)
- When
- 3 November 2026
- Where
- Black Sea, Romania, Bulgaria
- Status
- Reported