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Scope Ratings calls Democratic midterm sweep positive for US credit

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Ongoing: US mid-terms Hot

Scope Ratings said on Wednesday that Democratic control of both the House and the Senate supports the AA rating and stable outlook it holds on the United States. The agency expects fiscal policy to stay broadly unchanged.

Scope Ratings is a credit rating agency based in Europe. It said a Democratic-controlled Congress will close most legislative routes for the Trump administration. It said this will severely limit the ability of President Donald Trump to carry out his domestic agenda.

Eiko Sievert, executive director for sovereign and public sector ratings at Scope, said the result and Trump's swift acceptance of Republican defeats confirmed the resilience of US checks and balances.

Scope also warned that risks to fiscal policy will rise. It said talks on appropriations and the debt limit will become more protracted.

The agency expects US public debt to rise from 124% of GDP in 2025 to around 145% by 2031. Scope said that would be the second highest level among advanced economies after Japan. It also expects headline deficits of 7%-8% of GDP.

Key facts

Who
Eiko Sievert (Executive director for sovereign and public sector ratings at Scope Ratings); Scope Ratings (Europe-based credit rating agency); Donald Trump (US President)
What
Europe-based credit rating agency Scope Ratings said the Democrats gaining control of both the House and the Senate is credit positive for the US, supporting its AA rating and stable outlook, while noting that divided government constrains Trump's domestic agenda and that fiscal policy direction is expected to stay broadly unchanged.
When
4 November 2026
Where
United States
Status
Reported

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